10 Examples of Probabilistic Arguments - encyclopedia

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A probabilistic argument It is the one that starts from at least one of its premises as probable or possible to reach a conclusion.

Probabilistic arguments take into account the circumstances and the action of chance, logic and the possibility of something happening.

These arguments are used in empirical science, which requires experience to extract the possibility of recurrence.

There are two ways to recognize an argument of these characteristics:

Quantitative Probabilistic Argument. Use percentages or numbers to extract the argument. For example: One in three women have a job in Argentina. / 75% of the body is made up of water.
Qualitative probabilistic argument. The argument does not use percentages but uses adverbs of quantity. For example: Half of those present passed the exam with more than 8. / Most of the employees complained about the measure taken by the company.

By tossing a coin, we have a 50% chance that the cross falls.
It has not stopped raining for days and, according to the meteorological service, there is a 90% probability that today it rains too.
When I roll a die I have a 50% chance an even number comes up.
In a Spanish card game, if I wish to draw a spade card, I have a 25% chance.
The minority of the guests stayed to clean up after the party.
If I have a black marble and two white marbles in a bag, I have a 66.6% probability that one of the white marbles comes out, while I only have one 33,3% to extract the black canine.
If I play a race with three of my friends, (we would be four in total) I have 25% chance of winning and a 75% not winning.
If I apply for a job with 100 candidates, I have a 1% possibility of obtaining that position and a 99% of not obtaining it.
In a horse race, if there are five of them competing but I want the No. 4 to win, I have a 20% chance that he wins and 80% that he does not win.
If I study, I have a high probability percentage to pass next week's exam